How to create an analogue to the Feedburner "futurosfery"
Author: Yuri Smirnov . Topic: future projects . Posted: 29.09.2009, 18:03.
This project, I prepared for futurological community Trendclub.ru. I hope it is he and will be implemented. It is about creating Internet service that can take in "futurosfere" place, similar to positions taken in the blogosphere Technorati, Feedburner or Nielsen BlogPuls.
What can combine futuristic community of the world around some internet service? Computers? Rating? But it count? In terms of predictions come true? But how many will find them in most futurists, especially the fans? We, actually, not so much predict the future, how many build his image.
I think that all futurists are interesting (or interesting) to each other and to readers is his outlook on the future. The proposed service will allow everyone futurists, whether amateur or professional, to form a personal visual profile of the future, which will a) his business card, and b) his research tool. Users will be able to copy other people's profiles fragments or entirely in your own profile. Users (and with them - by sociologists, analysts, marketers) will in the cognitive and research to compare their own and others' profiles with one another and with the reference image of the future, which will form the service based on generalized statistics.
1. First is the word
In the first stage by members of the community created futurological "Catalogue of technology", which made wiki-article of two types:
a) brief descriptions of the major technologies introduced by mankind;
b) brief description of technological forecasts made known futurology and subject specialists.
Publications should be reminded, rather, a dictionary, not an encyclopedia article. The quality criterion: the capacity of wording, information, availability of comprehensive links to detailed descriptions.
An important attribute of both types of articles will be the date of introduction of technology - real or predicted (this is necessary to link articles to the "timeline"). Also author of the article would indicate the immediate "parent technology, without which this innovation would be unable to appear. Technology will be divided into global and sectoral.
In drawing up the rules to add, edit and delete articles suggest that considering the experience of communities Wikipedia, DMOZ, etc.
2. "Web» World Future Web
Simultaneously with the public "Catalogue of technology in the service user accounts will annex" Timeline ". Its window is divided into two parts:
a) left - a vertically oriented timeline, which will be placed point-tags with the names of appropriate technologies;
b) the right - the viewer to see the word wiki-papers and other descriptions (invoked article click the mouse on the name of technology on the timeline).
Neither technological label does not want to hang on the time scale independently of the other tags. Let me remind you: in every innovation is the "parent" technology and can be - "daughter". Relations between them form a kind of technological web. Hence - a proposed working title for the entire service: "The World Wide Web of the future», World Future Web, WFW.
For ease of service suggest that both the wiki-directory, and on the time scale tagging technology with four colors. For example: already implemented technology - mark green, researched and delivered with - blue, predicted renowned specialists - yellow, projected users of the service - red. Name of global technology everywhere will be written in bold, industry - in italics. This consistency - important: profiles should be visible and recognizable. By the way, I apologize for the abundance in this post the technical details: without them the reader will be difficult "in mind pressing the" on the buttons, which does not yet exist.
Naturally, we will take with them into the future sotsseti! Access to personal "time line" in the user's account will, at its option, public, private or "friends-only". Consider whether the total showgirl service summary data from closed and frendz Only "accounts - an issue that requires discussion: in its different solutions there are minuses and pluses.
3. "Photoshop" for futurist
Within six months after the start of service even admins WFW can not take a glance all the cobwebs once - so dense it will become. But each user can "extract" from it its own unique view of the world (or, in terms of service, "Profile of the future"), as well as make a personal contribution in this picture.
Beginning work with the service, the user browses the catalog listings and descriptions of the technologies and selects those that, in his opinion, would have the strongest negative or positive impact on the whole world on his country, region, family, and the industry (profession ), in which he works. This way the user can create a window of the time scale of up to seven layers.
Forecasts of leading futurists and subject experts selected by the user of the wiki-directory, will form the so-called "Primary layer» WFW.
In a pattern the first layer will be formed and the so-called "Layer futurosfery": technology it will show the same as the user has selected for the first layer. But there may be different timing of forecasts (ie forecasts collective users of the service may not coincide with the predictions of authoritative experts).
In addition to the first two, each user can create up to five individual segments ("peace", "country", "My Region", "my family", "my profession") - and fix them their views on future technologies and their impact on appropriate levels of being.
The time scale will also allow comparisons with other accounts, the experiments on the theme "what if ..." research "futurosfery" in the regional, age, professional, gender and other cuts.
4. Comments to eternity
When placing on the timeline of technological tags, the user must be assessed harmful or usefulness of each selected technology: from -5 to +5 points (in the "Rules" service will be given the recommended assessment criteria). The user can also change the date of any forecast (bring it, or delete the timeline). But to produce this effect, he will need to write and attach to the "primary forecast" comment to justify its correction. All such comments are displayed under the appropriate wiki-article in the "Catalogue of technology." Number of comments in the tape is limited to adjustment step "primary forecast, components, say, 5 years.
If your comment will impress the other users, and they begin to set in their accounts instead of your projected term "primary" - then your comment will rise in the feed. As soon as the collective forecast futurosfery on this technology will be closer to your forecast than to the primary - your comment will be automatically included in the article wiki-how to update.
5. Green light for red marker "
If a user deems it necessary to bring to our time the forecast period the appearance of a technology - it may be a curious effect. Suppose the emergence of technology originally intended for 2030, and its "parent technology" - in 2025-th. If you shift the forecast for 2020 - Technology "hangs in the air." Consequently, he will either have to select suitable "parent technology" from the directory, either - invent your own! And to prove it.
Of course, without this conflict, users have the right to make a "profile of the future" own technological ideas (with a detailed description). If these ideas are supported by a certain number of users, it will fall into the wiki-directory.
6. "Hello! I - Toffler! "
You can not just open public access to his account, but also generate up to five widgets (the number of layers: "the world", "country", "region", "Family", "profession") for placement in the general and thematic social networks . Probably should be developed and universal widget with five switches - for posting on their personal website or blog.
Similar widgets externally should look extremely simple: a column with gray horizontal stripes, on which the inscription: the date, the technology assessment (from -5 to +5). Colors of labels (blue, yellow or red) indicate introduced technology or only projected, and if projected, by whom: the famous specialist or owner of the widget. Well, under the universal widget is located five tabs switches.
Visitor social network site or blog can bring to any strip of the mouse - and will see a pop-up window with brief explanations. After clicking the mouse it will move to the detailed comments of the author or a widget to the primary wiki-article. In addition, if a visitor is currently logged on the service himself, he would see next to the widget are four additional buttons that allow you: to make a bookmark on the widget, make friends with its author; copy to my account its "Profile of the future" any individual forecasts, run the script comparison two profiles.
These little widgets to be held to service a large number of people - those who today do not even suspect the existence of futures and trendsetterskih Internet resources. After issue of the future worries many. And almost any related sites would be appropriate to its own "pane in the future."
7. What's next?
If the service back on track in runet you can begin to open its "mirrors" in other languages. To process was faster in the service, you can open exchange of translation: if you want, for example, that you helped with the translation of your wiki-article on the French - help a colleague to translate his article from the English, etc.
If the service back on track as an international resource, will be to go beyond the purely technological niches and develop its other segments: political forecasting, forecasting the development of culture, etc.
And the monetization! I think service will be able to pay off not only at the expense of advertising (perhaps, it even can be minimized). Propose such a principle. Almost all of the statistics service will be open for free research. Almost all - except the projections for the next year or two. Ability to analyze short-term data for all profiles will be available exclusively to commercial and government entities for a fee. Part of this fee will be distributed to those users who take the trouble to make short-term forecasts for a year or two ahead. Service users will be able to analyze for this period only the profiles of friends.
Summary
So on the one hand, the service enables users to visually and easily submit their futurological views and ideas. On the other - to unite "positive future". With the third - will allow to generate and analyze the collective image of the future.
This third function is particularly important. People are always looking for the key to the future. They tried to arouse a special talent, to develop methods of fortune telling and scientific forecasting. Today conscientious futurists have started talking about multi-variant and the unpredictability of the future, that for the "control" the future is more important to understand: what we think about it today. Service will look into our collective unconscious. People will begin to better understand who they are, how and where to go, what they can and should change today.
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