Numerous experts forecast that in 10-15 years the remote workers will be employed by most companies in the world. It implies that most of the population will be teleworkers in the foreseeable future. I guess that mas and powerful stratum of “telebusinessmen” will play a significant role in the economy by then. Who will be they and what will they differ in from ordinary businessmen?
The most widespread future business units in my judgment, will not be companies, but individuals, combining the two roles: the professional in some subject area and the entrepreneur. Accordingly, vocational training will merge with a business education.
Every entrepreneur will have:
- all-purpose communication facilities;
- business applications connected to all global and regional databases related with production, sales and services;
- artificial intelligence systems, capable to incur the routine contacts with an unlimited number of clients and partners and make simple decisions in a given program, easy to be reconfigured by the user.
Such “individual-company” will earn considerably more than contemporary teleworkers, and his income will be comparable with the income of small or medium enterprises. Income will be as high as profitably “teleentrepreneurl” will sell his services to the “parent” business process. And vice versa.
In turn, two types of teleentrepreneurs will appear:
First type representatives will collect chains of affiliated business processes (for example, to provide “parent” process with logistics services, advertising companies, complex audit, etc.).
Second type representatives, as well as modern outsourcers and teleworkers, will provide final services (for example, to deliver specific cargo from one point to another, to develop an advertising slogan or layout, staff audit companies, etc.). At the same time, there will be much more entrepreneural functions in their activity than it is today. Not least because they will have to find, evaluate and select the most efficient and profitable business-chains from the available ones.
By the way, right now business applications are developed that enable all chain of orders participants to be aware of efficiency the order going at accessory companies. IT experts believe that business chains’ information transparency will grow in the future and detailed data on their effectiveness will be available to all potential participants. Also I suppose that expert business portals will assign ratings based on objective and subjective factors to business chain organizers – as it is happening today in social networks.
Most of this future enterprises or business chains will have one project orientated origin. In other words – they would be “collected” for a limited period to manufacture some goods or services. New successful and viable brands (and accompanied superprofit) will not belong to companies but to concrete persons, who were capable to organize supersuccesful chain.
Naturally, a significant number of traditional enterprises will remain at the market. First of all it wiil be those associated with supporting infrastructure (telecommunications’ operators, regular carriers, builders, etc.), as well as high-volume components’ manufacturers and those that are assembling the final bulk products.
But a significant portion of production will be concentrated by teleentrepreneurs, many of whom will become the owners of fully-automated mini-departments, intended to execute small-scale and personalized orders. So not traditional, but “telebusiness” will determine the direction of economic development and provide growth of new wealth.
By the way, about wealth
You may ask, where can we take enough money from to provide millions of teleentrepreneurs with earning comparable with those of a small business? I answer: from the same place where now the money is lost.
Today a huge number of business entities employees are engaged in explicit imitation of work, or perform a work, which results are not likely to find a buyer, if they were proposed at the open market of outsourcing services,. The reason is not the helplessness and worthlessness of employees, but it is in the original slowness of large business structures that have no chance to catch up new customers’ needs. Too much time is lost to aware of these needs, so as to castle staffs, functions, projects, to retrain and to get used staff, to reinterpretate the corporate goals and objectives, etc. But any entrepreneur in the new system having a minimum credit of trust while understanding a new customer’s need, can immediately sit down at his computer and start building the business chain for new production.
Jettisonning ballast list of staff and totally following the principle: “Any result of the labor will be payed by the customer, not by the employer” – people will be able to produce (and, therefore, to receive) much more wealth than have today.
How it will be
The communication and information platforms for building business-chains will become the basis for the development of mass telebusiness. These platforms can be imagined as specialized business networks, like a social networks but transposed with a tender platform and data retrieval and business analysis systems.
Right now the conditions for the emergence of such platforms are developed.
At first, more and more people acquire a social networking experience of self-expression, socialization, personal brand building, conflicts’ resolution, independent job search, etc. And along the way they aware of their self-worth, supressed earlier by school teachers, politicians, advertisers, employees – all those who benefit to a greater or lesser extent, of manipulation the persons and pointing anyone a narrow corridor of possibilities, more narrow than that required for a truly happy man. Yes, we are prattling in the networks and share photos – but incidentally we cherish and nurture along with our accounts our badgerd “I”.
Secondly, a creeping process of monolithic corporate structures disintegration is going. Each year the percentage of employers who are psychologically resistant to the idea of remote work (as well as the transfer of business process to outsourcing) reduced. They see it as less risk and more benefits (there are predictions that by 2020 most of the world’s population will work remotely). Meanwhile, more and more professionals using the remote mode, gets the experience of independent management of their time and other resources.
Thirdly, today there are examples of so-called “Shell” companies: a man came up with the idea of a new product, contact the manufacturer in China, carriers, advertisers, took out a bank loan, registered on his own name a trademark – and has the dividend gurantee on the process triggered. It is true that rare persons only risk to make such business today. What does hinder to others? I think that it is not the fear of smashup, but many psychological barriers: low self-esteem, multiplied by the belief that they aren’t powerful enough to establish transnational communications. Where to call? Whom? And, more importantly, what for? The world all his life replied: “busy” or “nobody is home” earlier during all their lives?
And now let’s imagine that someone would compare these trends and take the risk to invest in the creation and promotion of platform that would allow one to find potential participants in the business chain, and anothers to calculate the most promising for themselves chain and sell their services to the organizers. Platform will provide both an opportunity to check the inside story of partners, to fix the terms of the transaction, to monitor all stages of its implementation, make payments, etc.
After observing the network working the potential teleentrepreneurs would discover that its pioneers are ordinary people like themselves, and that everybody is able to take risks and learn from their and others’ mistakes because God does not deprive them of these qualities. The platform would help them realize this by providing necessary level of comfort, security, transparency of operations. When I hear that only 10% of people are able to take risks – in politics, business, sports, etc. – I think that this figure exposes not the human nature which is not known, frankly saying, to the end, but the manipulative nature of the social communications in current and previous epochs.
In the issue it will happen approximately the same thing that was happened with the first blogs. It would seem – a completely idiotic idea: if practically nobody keep personal diary, who will keep the public ones? Who would know in those times how it all will be resulted. 🙂
Thank you for your comments and "likes"!
PS If you like this post - tell Google about it!